I’ve been talking to several polling experts. Charles H. Franklin University of Wisconsin when we first talked said that he thought that he’d seen some IRV polls for the presidential race. I told him I’d be most interested to see them. He looked around, couldn’t find them, so apparently no IRV polls have been done. But he did find some other polls that were of interest, here’s one:
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll [June, 2007]
Would you consider voting for a presidential candidate you like who is a third party independent candidate?
67% Yes
25 No
8 Don’t know
Do you think a qualified third party independent candidate has a reasonable chance of winning a presidential election or not?
31% Yes
63 No
6 Don’t know
So a strong majority of respondents want a third party candidate — while a strong majority of respondents think such a candidate would not have a reasonable chance of winning.